- How to Invest
- Posts
- How to Invest: Value Investing
How to Invest: Value Investing
Welcome to How to Invest. In this article:
Main Feature: Value Investing: The Art of Buying Low and Selling High
Investment Ideas for All Budgets
Educational Corner: Price vs. Intrinsic Value
Did You Know? A Quick Financial Fact
Value Investing: The Art of Buying Low and Selling High
While dividend investing focuses on income, Value Investing is a strategy grounded in the philosophy of buying stocks for less than they are truly worth. Famous proponents like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham have used this strategy to build massive fortunes. Value investors act as bargain hunters in the stock market; they look for companies that the market has underestimated or unfairly punished due to temporary setbacks. By purchasing these "on sale" assets and waiting for the market to recognize their true value, investors can secure a significant "Margin of Safety" and achieve strong long-term returns. This section explores the core principles of value investing, how to identify undervalued stocks, and the mindset required to profit from market inefficiencies.
What Is Value Investing?
Value investing involves picking stocks that appear to be trading for less than their intrinsic or book value. Key concepts include:
Intrinsic Value: The actual "true" worth of a company, calculated based on its assets, earnings, and future cash flows, independent of its current stock price.
Margin of Safety: The difference between the intrinsic value and the current market price. The wider the gap, the lower the risk and the higher the potential return.
Contrarian Mindset: The willingness to buy when others are selling and to invest in sectors that may be currently unpopular.
Time Horizon: Value investing is inherently long-term; it may take years for the market to correct its pricing error.
Metrics for Finding Value
Value investors rely heavily on financial ratios to identify potential bargains:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: A low P/E compared to industry peers or historical averages often suggests a stock is undervalued.
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Compares market cap to the company's book value (assets minus liabilities). A P/B under 1.0 can indicate a stock trading below the value of its assets.
Free Cash Flow (FCF): The cash a company generates after accounting for cash outflows to support operations. High FCF yield is a strong value signal.
Debt-to-Equity: Value investors prefer companies with manageable debt, ensuring they can survive the temporary downturns that caused their stock price to drop.
Why Invest in Value?
Historical Outperformance: Over very long time horizons (decades), value stocks have historically outperformed growth stocks.
Risk Mitigation: Buying with a "Margin of Safety" limits downside risk. If you buy a dollar for 50 cents, you lose less if things go wrong.
Lower Volatility: Value stocks are often mature companies that are less volatile than high-flying tech or growth stocks.
Capital Preservation: Focusing on strong balance sheets and tangible assets helps protect capital during market bubbles.
Emotional Discipline: The strategy forces investors to rely on data and analysis rather than hype or FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out).
Risks and Considerations
Value Traps: A stock may be "cheap" for a good reason (e.g., a dying industry, massive litigation, or obsolete technology). Buying these is a common mistake.
Patience Required: The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. Value stocks can languish for years before correcting.
Underperformance in Bull Markets: During tech-led rallies or growth booms, value portfolios often lag significantly behind the broader market.
Analysis Paralysis: Accurately calculating "intrinsic value" is difficult and subjective; incorrect assumptions can lead to poor investment decisions.
Sector Bias: Value portfolios often overweight financials, energy, and industrials while underweighting technology.
Building a Value Portfolio
Define Your Screen: Decide on the metrics that matter to you (e.g., P/E under 15, P/B under 1.5, Dividend Yield > 2%).
Filter for Quality: Avoid "junk" companies by filtering for:
Positive earnings for the last 5+ years
Stable or increasing profit margins
Low debt levels relative to the industry
Analyze the "Why": Investigate why the stock is cheap. Is it a temporary fixable issue (good) or a structural decline (bad)?
Diversification: Do not bet everything on one turnaround play. Spread investments across different sectors to mitigate the risk of a single industry collapsing.
Exit Strategy: Determine when you will sell. Typically, a value investor sells when the stock price reaches its calculated intrinsic value or when the fundamental thesis changes.
But what can you actually DO about the proclaimed ‘AI bubble’? Billionaires know an alternative…
Sure, if you held your stocks since the dotcom bubble, you would’ve been up—eventually. But three years after the dot-com bust the S&P 500 was still far down from its peak. So, how else can you invest when almost every market is tied to stocks?
Lo and behold, billionaires have an alternative way to diversify: allocate to a physical asset class that outpaced the S&P by 15% from 1995 to 2025, with almost no correlation to equities. It’s part of a massive global market, long leveraged by the ultra-wealthy (Bezos, Gates, Rockefellers etc).
Contemporary and post-war art.
Masterworks lets you invest in multimillion-dollar artworks featuring legends like Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso—without needing millions. Over 70,000 members have together invested more than $1.2 billion across over 500 artworks. So far, 25 sales have delivered net annualized returns like 14.6%, 17.6%, and 17.8%.*
Want access?
Investing involves risk. Past performance not indicative of future returns. Reg A disclosures at masterworks.com/cd
Investment Ideas for All Budgets
For Small Investors (1 to 100 Dollars)
Value Factor ETF Strategy Description: utilizing a low-cost Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) that specifically tracks value indices. Advantages:
Instant exposure to hundreds of undervalued companies.
Eliminates the risk of falling into a specific "value trap" single stock.
Automatic quarterly rebalancing by the fund manager.
extremely low expense ratios.
Limitations:
Market-cap weighting may dilute deep value exposure.
You cannot avoid specific sectors you might dislike (e.g., fossil fuels or tobacco).
Limited potential for "multi-bagger" returns compared to individual stock picking.
Implementation:
Open a fractional share brokerage account.
Select a broad Value ETF:
Vanguard Value ETF (VTV): For large-cap stable value.
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value (AVUV): For aggressive small-cap value exposure.
iShares MSCI EAFE Value (EFV): For international value exposure.
Set up a recurring weekly or monthly contribution to dollar-cost average.
For Medium Investors (101 to 10,000 Dollars)
The "Dogs of the Dow" Approach Description: A mechanical strategy where you invest equal amounts in the 10 highest-yielding stocks within the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This acts as a proxy for buying large blue-chip companies that are currently out of favor (hence the high yield). Advantages:
Focuses exclusively on massive, financially stable blue-chip companies.
Provides a high dividend income while waiting for stock price recovery.
Simple rules-based system requires management only once per year.
Historically competitive returns with the broader S&P 500.
Limitations:
Concentrated portfolio (only 10 stocks).
Heavy sector bias (often overloaded in energy or telecom).
Tax inefficiency due to annual rebalancing.
Implementation:
At the start of the year, list the 30 companies in the Dow Jones.
Sort them by dividend yield (High to Low).
Select the top 10.
Invest an equal amount (e.g., $500) into each of the 10 stocks.
Hold for exactly one year and one day.
Repeat the process annually, selling those that dropped off the list and buying the new entrants.
For Large Investors (10,000 Dollars and Above)
Concentrated Deep Value & Special Situations Description: An active, research-intensive portfolio focusing on 10-15 high-conviction "deep value" plays. This tier allows for complex strategies like "Net-Nets" (companies trading below their liquidation value) or merger arbitrage. Advantages:
Highest potential for outsized returns (beating the market).
Complete control over tax harvesting and position sizing.
Ability to profit from market panic and extreme dislocation.
Limitations:
High volatility and career risk (looking wrong for long periods).
Requires advanced financial statement analysis skills.
Liquidity risks in smaller cap stocks.
Implementation:
Tier 1 - Quality Value Anchors (50%):
Large-cap "Compounders" trading at fair prices (e.g., Berkshire Hathaway).
Focus on "Moats": Brand power, network effects, or cost advantages.
Tier 2 - Deep Value / Turnarounds (30%):
Companies trading at multi-year lows due to fixable operational issues.
Cyclical industries (Semiconductors, Shipping) near the bottom of their cycle.
Metrics: P/E < 10, Price/Sales < 1.
Tier 3 - Special Situations (20%):
Spinoffs: Buying shares of newly spun-off companies that are often sold indiscriminately by institutions.
Asset Plays: Companies where real estate or patent holdings are worth more than the entire market cap.
Educational Corner: Understanding Price vs. Intrinsic Value
The most critical lesson in value investing is distinguishing between Price and Value.
Price is what you pay. It is a voting machine, driven by market sentiment, news headlines, and human emotion (greed and fear). It fluctuates wildly from minute to minute.
Value is what you get. It is a weighing machine, driven by business fundamentals: cash flow, assets, and debts. It changes slowly over quarters and years.
The "Mr. Market" Analogy: Imagine you are partners in a business with a manic-depressive man named Mr. Market. Every day, he offers to buy your share or sell you his.
When he is euphoric, he sees only sunshine and quotes a ridiculously high price.
When he is depressed, he sees only trouble and quotes a ridiculously low price.
The value investor looks at Mr. Market's quote daily but only acts when the discrepancy is in their favor—buying when Mr. Market is depressed and selling when he is euphoric. Understanding that the market price is an opinion, not a fact, is your greatest edge.
Did You Know?
Warren Buffett, widely considered the greatest value investor of all time, purchased his initial stake in Coca-Cola in 1988 immediately following the stock market crash of 1987. While others were panicking, Buffett recognized that the stock price had fallen, but the brand's value and the number of Cokes sold globally hadn't changed. He invested approx. $1.3 billion. Today, that stake is worth over $25 billion, and—perhaps even more impressively—Coca-Cola pays Berkshire Hathaway over $700 million a year in dividends alone. This translates to a yield on cost of over 50% every single year, proving that buying quality at a discount is the ultimate engine for wealth creation.
That concludes this article of How to Invest. Value investing is not a get-rich-quick scheme; it is a get-rich-sure scheme for those with patience. By ignoring the noise of the daily ticker and focusing on the underlying business realities, you can build a portfolio that survives market volatility and thrives in the long run. Whether you use simple ETFs or analyze balance sheets yourself, remember the golden rule: Price is what you pay, value is what you get.
